Pick 10
J. Hawg's Pick 10
Okay, I'm a litle late on this. But I did submit my picks to the pool on Wednesday. It's just with this being the first time ever my wife and I have hosted Thanksgiving, and then serendipitously scoring a ticket to the LSU game, it is only now I can post.
Confession: I left at halftime. I mean really, we could not have looked worse than we looked in the second quarter. The defense looked like a damn Chinese fire drill. I can't tell you many times the entire section was screaming that there was a wideout uncovered. Way too much late personnel substitution. Just ugly. So, with the rain picking up and my brother leaving, I took the ride instead of walking a mile to my house. And in comfy sweats, watched us turn the whole thing around. Casey, that is one sweet way to go out. Congrats. You deserve it.
So, here are the picks. The first three with post, rather than pre, game comments. By the way, our turkey rocked.
SEC
LSU (-4.5) at Arkansas: Okay, I had a premonition. LSU has really not lived up to expectations, and despite the superior talent, I had a feeling the Hogs might surprise. Shockingly, I was right. DOG.
Georgia (-8.5) v. Georgia Tech: I don't feel good about this. The Bulldogs have looked like they had some bad mussels lately, and the GT trip option might be too baffling. But, I went FAVE.
Alabama (-14.5) at Auburn: It's the Iron Bowl. I really don't think Auburn will make it seven straight, but I suspect this will be closer than the line. DOG.
Florida (-16) at Florida State: No, this is not the Iron Bowl. And the Gators are totally on top of their game since Houston slapped them into reality. Are you gonna bet against Florida covering? Not me. FAVE.
South Carolina (+1) at Clemson: I cannot imagine Dabo v. OBC winds up in Dabo's favor. DOG.
OTHER
Texas A&M (+34.5) at Texas: The Big 12 South winner will be selected by BCS standings. Run it up if'n you can. Tejas can. And they did. FAVE.
Colorado (+17) at Nebraska: This line is hysterical. Nebraska giving 17? To whom? Hendrix? DOG.
Kansas (+13) at Mizzou: Trap game. I love me some Jayhawks. I hate me some Columbia. I think the abolitionists cover. DOG.
Oklahoma (-7) at Oklahoma St.: T. Boone's billions don't change the fact margin of victory could decide who goes to the Big 12 championship game. FAVE.
Notre Dame (+29) at USC: Didn't Weis just lose to Syracuse? AHAHAHAHHAHA HAHAHHAAAAAHAHAHAMUHHAAHHAHHAA. Pete Carroll eats Domers for breakfast, and then blogs about it. FAVE.
I am 3-0 going to the weekend. I like it. And that last Casey Dick pass, well, redemption is sweet. Go Hogs. The future's so bright, we oughtta all wear shades.
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J. Hawg's Pick 10
Another dismal week on the Pick 10 front, as I only got four out of ten right. This picking against the spread thing is hard. Just one more reason why Vegas makes money.
Responding to my Hodge Podge, commenter Drew argues against a playoff for college foo-ball. Apparently, he favors this (which I shamelessly stole from The Sporting Blog):
Frankly, I can't see any reason why we shouldn't have a playoff. Bowls are boring and meaningless, vestiges of a by-gone era. Give me eight teams (we can argue about how to pick them) and play them down and every one of those seven games becomes meaningful. Instead of only two or three teams with a chance to win it all, you get eight. Television ratings will soar, money will flow, I'll stay interested.
Here's my picks this week, although I can save you the trouble of reading. I picked all the home teams to cover. This surely won't actually happen, but it has as much chance of happening as whatever I would pick otherwise. So, the text below has been made up to fit the pre-selection.
SEC
Tennessee (+3.5) at Vanderbilt: Honest. That's not a mistake. Vanderbilt is giving points to Tennessee. I think I felt a slight tremor in the earth, which was probably General Neyland rolling over in his grave. When the bookies call it for the Dores, it is officially time to get worried, but the system says FAVE.
Arkansas (-1.5) at Missi State: If Michael Smith is actually healthy, the Hogs should win, despite the Double Dick situation at QB. The entire fate of the team rests on one undersized running back . . . system says DOG.
Ole Miss (+3.5) at LSU: I can see this going either way. I think these teams are evenly matched. Question is, will the Rebels pull the late-season Nutt-loss? Fortunately, I don't have to make the choice because the system says FAVE.
OTHER
Michigan (+21) at Ohio State: This line looks almost as odd as the Vanderbilt one. Honestly, I think Michigan will stay within three TDs, but system says FAVE.
Michigan St. (+14) at Penn State: At one point I thought Joe Pa's final team was pretty good. Now I see them going to a boring bowl and getting the snot beat out of them. The game is in State College, so FAVE.
BYU (+7) at Utah: In Utah, they call this "the Holy War." Those Utahites, what comedians! On general principles, I root against BYU. So the system works! FAVE.
Pitt (+5) at Cincinnati: A preview of the new Vols coach? Yes, it's Wannstadt!! FAVE.
Florida State (-1) at Maryland: Arrrggh. The Terps won last week, which means they will surely crash and burn this week. But the system says DOG.
Texas Tech (+7) at Oklahoma: Here is where we find out if the Red Raiders are for real. Yeah, they beat the Longhorns, but that was in Lubbock and Lubbock can hurt your soul. I like the system pick, FAVE.
U Conn (+3) at South Florida: Man, I'm glad I have a system, because I have no idea about this one. FAVE.
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J. Hawg's Pick 10
It's a slow weekend with no Hogs football. We need the respite.
Last week was a mediocre Pick 10 performance, I ended up hitting 6 out of 10 and barely in the black. Let's hope for better this week.
SEC
Georgia (-9) at Auburn: Really, Auburn is just terrible this year. Georgia has been porous to good teams; but this Auburn team couldn't score if they were the only straight guy in a Miami bar. FAVE.
S. Carolina (+22) at Florida: The Gators are really good. For four weeks now I have said, that spread is too big. Each time the Gators have covered. There are two ways to look at this. First, "I've learned my lesson, and I am picking the Gators." Second, "I am bound to be right sooner or later." Call me stubborn. DOG.
Mississippi St. (+20.5) at Alabama: This may be the toughest game to call at this spread. Three touchdowns? I have flopped back and forth on this like Miss Lenzie's mule's ears (I just made that one up!), but I am ultimately going with Bama to cover. Just because they're at home. FAVE.
Vanderbilt (+4.5) at Kentucky: Vanderbilt is dying out there. They have no O and no D. Even a basketball power like Kentucky can manhandle the Dores. Worse, I have lost betting on VU for like five straight weeks. Hey, why change now? So, DOG.
OTHERS
Texas (-13) at Kansas: Every week, the sponsor of Pick 10 sticks a shiv in me by putting Arkansas, Vanderbilt and Kansas in his picks. Every week, I bend to passion and some sort of hemorraghic fever and bet for "my" teams. Not here. Even with icy winds knifing through Lawrence, Texas is easily two TDs better than the Jayhawks. FAVE.
Notre Dame (-3.5) at Navy: Nothing makes me happier than a military academy beating the Irish. I expect to be happy. Charlie Weiss calling the plays is not going to help him overcome Jimmy Clausen's 13 interceptions on the season. DOG, with relish.
Cal (+3) at Oregon State: It's the Pac 10. What I know about the Pac 10 is about what I know about women's cosmetics. I take the home team to cover. FAVE.
North Carolina (-3) at Maryland: Tyler Hansbrough is going to kill them! Oh, football. Um, I dunno. Maryland is wildly erratic. The Tarheels, if they win enough, are going to set their coach up with a nice new mansion on the river in west Knoxville. Blindly stabbing at the pinata, FAVE.
Boston College (+6.5) at Florida State: Despite the fact that they play in a mystifyingly crappy league, I am beginning to think that Florida State has some cojones. It's a lot of points for an ACC game, but maybe the BC guys will get distracted by the warm breezes and FSU co-eds. FAVE.
Colorado (+17) at Oklahoma State: I sense some pent up anger, and just like when the white men invaded the Plains, that is bad for buffalo. FAVE.
Happy picking! See you later on, after we find out if Pelphrey's boys can play.
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J. Hawg's Pick 10
How bad am I at picking the Pick 10? So bad, I could have managed John McCain's campaign. So bad, that a stench arises from my picking, and co-workers at the other end of the hall retch violently. So bad, I could have written this parody song. (Pretty good performance, actually.)
I managed a rootin'-tootin' three out of 10 picks last week. And I was 3-3 after six games, so that meant the evening was one long slide into oblivion. I am now ranked 27th out of 32 entrants in the Pick 10 Pool.
This is usually about the time I start doing crazy stuff like, heck just pick all faves or all dogs and figure you'll hit somewhere in the 4 to 6 wins range. But for the sake of the ExPats, I am going to soldier on, trying my best to divine results.
By the time most of you read this, I'll be on my way to the White River for an annual outing called a fishing trip, but which is really an excuse to get drunk by a campfire. And that also means I will not be paying attention to how my picks are coming out. I hope by studiously not paying attention, something good will come my way. Feel free to chime in with thoughts on how my picks are wrong.
SEC
Arkansas (+10) at South Carolina: The Hogs have now covered four weeks in a row. I see no reason to think we won't be within ten points of South Carolina. And, lose in a horrible and excruciating fashion. DOG.
Alabama (-3.5) at LSU: So, does LSU have it in them to pull the upset? So far, the Tigers have given no indication that their vaunted defense is worth a flip, and we know they have serious problems at quarterback. I think this is Nicky's chance to rub their faces in it. And he will if he can. FAVE.
Florida (-24) at Vanderbilt: Really, Vanderbilt has no chance to win this game. They are on the VU slide to hell. Two weeks ago I said the spread was too big, and Florida just demolished Kentucky, like 61-3. But this game is in Nashville, and there may be a little let down for the Gators after last week's stunning win over Georgia, so, with fear in my heart, I back my Commodores. DOG.
OTHER
Ohio State (-12.5) at Northwestern: Man, I hope this isn't that game Northwestern always seems to have every year where they overachieve. FAVE.
Georgia Tech (+4) at North Carolina: Georgia Tech is running the wishbone? Yeah, but it's that cerebral Navy wishbone. I think Butch Davis and Co. handle it at home. FAVE.
Penn State (-7.5) at Iowa: Yeah, it's a long road trip for Joe Pa, but I am not betting against Penn State until they falter. They are looking to run to the BCS championship game, and winning by two TDs over the Hawkeyes seems very realistic. FAVE.
Oklahoma (-25.5) at Texas A&M: OU is going to run up the score on everyone they can run the score up on, hoping someone falters and they can slide into the National Championship game. Who wouldn't enjoy running it up on the Aggies? FAVE.
Notre Dame (+3.5) at Boston College: Last time I took Notre Dame they hosed me. They still don't have a team worth a flip in South Bend. FAVE.
Oklahoma State (+3) at Texas Tech: My. This could be a ball game. I'll be grilling fresh trout and I won't see it, but my. I think Oklahoma State is really good this year, but Tech just beat Texas in spectacular fashion and they are at home. The Pirate ship sails on. FAVE.
California (+18) at USC: I don't know what to make of this game. Pete Carroll is whining that the BCS polls are screwing his team, but they lost the only tough game they had. Still, Cal is inconsistent, and I think Pete will fire up the team to win big. FAVE.
(You see what I did there? I picked all Faves except my Hogs and Dores. This couldn't possibly be trouble . . .)
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